ОБЪЕДИНЕНИЕ ЛИДЕРОВ НЕФТЕГАЗОВОГО СЕРВИСА И МАШИНОСТРОЕНИЯ РОССИИ
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Вторник, 20 июля 2021 18:34

EIA: Country Analysis Brief: Iran - July 2021 - eng (pdf) Избранное

Overview

  • Iran was the fifth-largest crude oil producer in OPEC in 2020 and the third-largest natural gas producer in the world in 2019.[1] It holds some of the world’s largest deposits of proved oil and natural gas reserves, ranking as the world’s third-largest and second-largest reserve holder of oil and natural gas, respectively, in 2020. At the end of 2020, Iran accounted for 25% of oil reserves in the Middle East and 12% in the world (Figure 1).[2] Despite its abundant reserves, Iran’s crude oil production has fallen since 2017 because the oil sector has been subject to underinvestment and international sanctions for several years.
  • Although Iran is a member of OPEC, it is exempt from the production cuts under the OPEC+ agreement because its crude oil production remains limited by U.S.-imposed nuclear-related sanctions. Iran’s crude oil production reached a 30-year low in 2020 as a result of these sanctions and the impacts of the global COVID-19 pandemic. EIA assesses that Iran’s production could return to full capacity, at 3.8 million barrels per day (b/d), if the United States lifts oil sector sanctions.
  • Iran’s economy is relatively diversified compared to many other Middle Eastern countries, but it still relies heavily on petroleum and other liquids revenues. In FY 2016 (April 2016–March 2017), the latest year of available data, crude oil export revenue accounted for nearly 40% of Iraq’s total government revenues, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).[3] In 2019, Iran earned $30 billion in net oil export revenues, down from $66 billion in 2018. Export revenues fell in 2019 after U.S. sanctions were imposed on Iran’s oil exports, which resulted in a decrease in both crude oil production and exports in Iran.[4] We estimate the oil price declines in 2020 further reduced Iran’s revenues.
  • Iran’s economy consumed an estimated 11.7 quadrillion British thermal units of primary energy in 2019, making it the largest energy consumer in the Middle East. Natural gas and oil accounted for almost all of Iran’s total primary energy consumption, with marginal contributions from hydropower, coal, nuclear, and non-hydro power renewables (Figure 2).[5]

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